一、这种传说为什么对股市有影响？是因为朱熔基的份量与当年老邓
差不多？是因为朱的去留关系改革大业？非也。朱的地位问题只能从
侧面反映一点高层领导集体是否稳定的问题。如果朱的去留成了问题，
那么股市的反应只能说明股民对中央领导层是否稳定存有怀疑，既不
能说明朱的份量，也不能说明改革的前途。坚定不移的改革是邓的遗
训，基本上也是现任领导集体的共识，朱只是个得力的执行者。如果
确实有过，那也是个人风格使然。
二、从大陆中国49年以来的政治来看，先由领导个人提出辞呈，报请
中央决定是否批准的情况是不太可能成立的。从中共党章来看，每个
党员都应是人民的勤务员，应该党叫干啥就干啥，不能自己撂挑子的。
在未经集体或上级劝退的情况下自己提出辞呈，是违反组织纪律的对
抗性行为，如64前的赵紫阳，结果就不可能是接受不接受辞呈的问题，
而是给予何种处分的问题。因此，即使朱不称职，也应先由集体或上
级作出决定，让其辞职，然后，他才能提出辞呈，完成辞职的程序，
如当年胡耀邦辞去总书记一职。所以，朱先提辞呈而中央尚未批准的
说法是不符合中共领导层一贯行事规则的。即使朱明天辞职，那也是
因为中央要其辞职，而不大可能是自撂挑子。
三、但是，这种传说倒可能反映了七一前党内对朱熔基的批评和帮助。
他本人也可能作了自我批评。主要问题估计是：作风专断；经常自搞
一套；在WTO问题上涉嫌急功近利有失原则。今后一段时间朱将只管
经济、金融及一般内政，而较少过问甚至不再过问外交与国防事务。
四、党内会借此进行党建教育，让后来人吸取教训并走向成熟。就象
江从胡、赵的起落中汲取教训，取长补短一样，将力求继任总理能够
更加成熟。吴邦国象是个比较善于总结成败经验的继任人选。
古月
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京人
Re: 一家之言
Fri Jul 2 12:12:40 1999
>吴邦国象是个比较善于总结成败经验的继任人选。
吴邦国天庭过于狭窄，地角过于尖峭，是福薄之相，
恐不能托以重器。建议由肥头大耳的毛新宇同志担
任下届总理。
>"Wu Bang-guo seems rather good at summing up
>positive and negative lessons of the past losers,
>thus a promising candidate for the premiership."
Mr. Wu's forehead is too narrow and his jaws
and chin too bony. So he might well be a sucker
too. As Mr. Mao Xin-yu is a fathead as his grandpa,
I recommend him to succeed Mr. Zhu Rong-ji.
*******************************************
古月
You made me reconsider the translation of "racial profiling"
Fri Jul 2 12:56:26 1999
It seems that we have to reformulate the Chinese translation for "racial profiling." Your facial-contour-based judgment smacks of a strong influence from the facial profiling which is typical of Peking Opera(您的以貌取人似乎深受京剧脸谱化的影响). So if "facial profiling" can be translated into "以貌取人" or "脸谱化," then we might as well put "racial profiling" into "种族脸谱化."
BTW, Xinyu, just like his grandpa, is not made for managment but for helmsmanship. I'd recommend him to succeed Jiang rather than Zhu to be the next president. As for premiership which is essentially a post for managment, I think Wu is ok. A narrow forehead with a pointed chin can be an excellent manager as long as he is good at drawing on what is positive and negative:-).